Thursday, June 5, 2025

How Much Money Would You Make Betting On Scottie Scheffler Each Time He Plays?

How much money would you have made betting on World No. 1 golfer Scottie Scheffler to win each time he plays?

Bettors backing him to win each time out since the start of the 2021-22 PGA Tour season would have turned an immense profit.

Here's a look at the numbers. 

If you had wagered $100 on Scheffler to win before each of his last 79 PGA Tour starts (including the 2024 Olympics) going back to the start of the 2021-22 season, you would be up $5,205


RELATEDU.S. Open Golf Odds


That presents a 65.88% return on the $7,900 total wagered during that period. A number boosted by Scheffler's dominant 4-shot win Sunday in the Memorial at Jack's Place. 

Scheffler has won 16 tournaments, 3 majors, the PGA Tour Championship, and an Olympic gold medal during this remarkable 4-season run. Those event victories include two at Augusta National in the Masters, a pair of wins in the THE PLAYERS Championship, a gold-medal winning run at Le Golf National, and his victory in the 2025 PGA Championship. THE PLAYERS is considered pro golf’s unofficial fifth major. Scheffler's dominant run in 2024 helped him secure the PGA Tour season points championship. 

Almost as impressive, Scheffler has finished second or tied for second 9 times. And he’s finished in the Top 10 in 52 of his 78 events, or 66.6% of the time. 

Here is a breakdown of Scheffler’s PGA Tour event victories and his Olympic gold, with the date, tournament, and his odds to win before Round 1. 

Scottie Scheffler's PGA Tour Events Won & Odds 

DateEventOdds
3/6/2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational+1500
3/27/2022 WGC Dell Match Play +1500
4/10/2022 The Masters +1800
2/19/2023 WM Phoenix Open +2800
3/12/2023 THE PLAYERS +1000
12/3/2023 Hero World Challenge +450
3/10/2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational +900
3/17/2024 THE PLAYERS +550*
4/14/2024 The Masters -120*
4/21/2024 RBC Heritage+400*
6/9/2024 Memorial +360*
6/23/2024 Travelers Championship +360*
8/4/2024 Olympic Golf Tournament +300*
9/1/2024 Tour Championship +115*
12/8/2024 Hero World Championship +190*
5/4/2025 CJ CUP Byron Nelson +280*
5/18/2025 PGA Championship +500*
6/1/2025 Memorial +280*
(*) – Denotes Betting Favorite/Co-Favorite 

How Does Backing Scheffler Compare To Other Investments

The return on backing Scheffler each week he as played from October 11, 2021 through the 2025 Memorial outpaces the return on many of the major stock indexes, in addition to the price of gold. Only backing silver and Bitcoin during that span would have offered a better return than backing Scottie. 

October 11, 2021 was the first trading day after Scheffler missed the cut in the 2021 Shriners Children's Open. And the close of trading on Wall Street at 4 p.m. ET on Friday (May 23, 2025) was the last full trading day in our cycle. 

Here is a breakdown of where those major market indicators stood at the start of the 2021-22 PGA Tour season, where they stood at the close on the last trading day of the Memorial, and the percentage of your potential return compared to that of backing Scheffler over the same period. 
 

Investment10-11-20215-30-2025Return %Scheffler %
Gold (1 oz.) $1757.00$3113.1056.43% 65.88%
Silver (1 oz.) $22.67$33.0868.53%65.88%
DJIA34,496.0642,237.9122.44%65.88%
SP 500 4,361.195,907.2035.44%65.88%
NASDAQ14,486.2019,098.4731.83%65.88%
Bitcoin$57,426.40$105,582.1083.85%65.88% 

Scheffler Gets Tiger-Like U.S. Open Odds

Oddsmakers at FanDuel, Fanatics, and DraftKings have Scheffler trading between +260 and +300 (via OddsJam) to win the U.S. Open at Oakmont. The year's third major begins at week from Thursday, on June 12. He was a high as +500 at BetMGM just a week ago. 

As always, shop around for the best price. 

At 28, Scheffler is in his athletic prime, if not his betting prime. 

Scheffler’s price of +300 ties for his number ahead of 2024 national championship. It was/would be tied for the lowest of any U.S. Open player since Tiger Woods went off at +300 ahead of the 2009 national golf championship at Bethpage Black. Tiger opened that event with a 74 and rallied for a T6 finish. 

The action on Scheffler has been "similar to Tiger but in a smaller scale," SuperBook Sports VP of Risk Jeff Sherman told bookies.com at that time. "His short odds have caused other golfers odds to escalate, but we used to get extremely large wagers on Tiger at even shorter odds. We see decent size wagers on Scottie but not in the neighborhood of Tiger." 

Scheffler hasn't finished worst than T8 since his 20th place finish at THE PLAYERS in March. 

The value on Scheffler has long evaporated. He was +1800 before winning the 2022 Masters. He was a negative money favorite at -120 before his win at Augusta this past April. Scheffler dominated that field in winning by 4 shots. 

Breaking Down Scottie Scheffler's Historic Run

Here's the breakdown of Scheffler's run since the start of the 2021-22 PGA Tour season. 

2024-25

  • Events: 31 
  • Wins: 10
  • Runner Up: 3
  • Top 10: 24
  • Official Money: $43,787,054


2022-23

  • Events: 23 
  • Wins: 2
  • Runner Up: 2
  • Top 10: 17
  • Official Money: $21,014,342
     

2021-22

  • Events: 25
  • Wins: 4
  • Runner Up: 4
  • Top 10: 11
  • Official Money: $14,046,910

Scheffler’s numbers reflect his dominance on the course. He’s unflappable no matter the situation – as reflected by his performance at Valhalla Golf Club after he was arrested ahead of the 2024 PGA Championship. 

Scheffler rolled through the PGA Championship field this year at Quail Hollow, dominating on Sunday with a 65 and winning the event by 5 shots at 11-under. 

He makes it look easy. Even though we know it isn’t. 

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